KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 76° or above (82%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
74° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquiditySpread
13.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 21, 26, 8:00 PMAug 21, 26, 9:00 PM
Probability Timeline
78° or above10%
77° or above49%
76° or above82%
79° or above1%
75° or above88%
74° or above99%
72° or above99%
71° or above99%
73° or above94%
80° or above2%
99%
99%
99%
96%
94%
82%
49%
10%
2%
1%
Rules
If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Aug 21, 2026 5 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Aug 21, 2026 5 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 71.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above+85.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+94.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+78.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $5M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+78.0pt93.2%
- 84° or above-1.0pt2.9%
- 78° to 79°-28.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+9.0pt21%
- 300-319+8.4pt21%
- 260-279+6.8pt15%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.0pt11.9%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.0pt10.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt10.9%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+14.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+49.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 21, 2026?
- Las Vegas+72.0pt99%
- Boston+23.0pt99%
- Chicago+55.0pt95%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $258.2K
- Which company has best AI model end of August?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 21, 2026?
- BTC price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 21, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 74° or above at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT? resolve?
- Temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Aug 21, 2026 5 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.