KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 67° or above (87%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 2:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 12:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
66° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 12:00 PMAug 21, 26, 1:00 PM
Probability Timeline
67° or above87%
68° or above43%
69° or above12%
66° or above99%
62° or above99%
64° or above99%
65° or above99%
63° or above0%
70° or above0%
71° or above0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
87%
43%
12%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Aug 21, 2026 9 AM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 61.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- The official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.
- NWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.
- Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Aug 21, 2026 9 AM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 62.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
