KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 63° or above (98%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 10:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
63° or above 92.5%Leader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$1.3K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 8:00 AMAug 21, 26, 9:00 AM
Probability Timeline
66° or above1%
65° or above1%
64° or above1%
63° or above98%
69° or above1%
67° or above2%
68° or above2%
60° or above0%
61° or above0%
62° or above0%
92.5%
1.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Aug 21, 2026 5 AM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 59.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- The official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.
- NWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.
- Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Aug 21, 2026 5 AM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 60.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
