KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 90° or above (21%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
89° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.9K
Liquidity
$3.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
28.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 53 minutes ago
LaggingSep 12, 26, 3:00 PM UTCSep 12, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
90° or above21%
89° or above99%
88° or above97%
91° or above3%
87° or above92%
92° or above1%
86° or above98%
93° or above1%
85° or above98%
94° or above1%
99%
98%
98%
97%
96%
21%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 12, 2026?
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PolymarketHighest temperature in Miami on September 14?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Miami on September 13?
PolymarketRules
If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology.
- Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 86.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 87.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,000 or above99%
- $75,750 or above99%
- $75,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $729.1K
- 24h Vol
- $728.4K
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $77,341.37 target
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Total Vol
- $682K
- 24h Vol
- $555.8K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+32.3pt99%
- 65-89-20.4pt1%
- <40-21.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+6.0pt96.9%
- Google-0.1pt2%
- OpenAI-8.1pt1%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,500 or above97%
- $70,000 or above97%
- $65,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $181.4K
- 24h Vol
- $181.1K
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt67.3%
- Before March 2027-1.0pt20%
- Before February 20276.4%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- BTC price on Sep 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- ETH price range on Sep 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- ETH 15 min · $2,535.95 target
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Temperature in Miami on Sep 12, 2026 at 12pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 89° or above at 99% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Temperature in Miami on Sep 12, 2026 at 12pm EDT? resolve?
- Temperature in Miami on Sep 12, 2026 at 12pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on September 12, 2026.
- How is Temperature in Miami on Sep 12, 2026 at 12pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.