KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 83° or above (81%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
78° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$3.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 4, 26, 2:00 AMSep 4, 26, 3:00 AM
Probability Timeline
84° or above13%
83° or above81%
85° or above1%
82° or above98%
78° or above99%
86° or above1%
87° or above1%
79° or above99%
80° or above99%
81° or above97%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
81%
13%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 3, 2026 at 11 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 77.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology.
- Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 3, 2026 at 11 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 78.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 3, 2026 at 11 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 79.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 3, 2026 at 11 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 80.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $77,000 or above+35.0pt99%
- $75,000 or above+7.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 1am EDT?
- $80,800 or above99%
- $80,700 or above99%
- $80,500 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 3, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+71.0pt95.2%
- 76° to 77°-59.0pt1%
- 80° or above-5.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
- 220-239+42.0pt71.3%
- 200-219-20.0pt20.8%
- 240-259-1.4pt6.9%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-5.5pt81.2%
- OpenAI+7.7pt16.8%
- Google-1.1pt2%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.5pt11.5%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+0.3pt11.5%
- 85,000 to 89,999.99+1.6pt10.6%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 3, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 3, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Denver on Sep 3, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 3, 2026?
- What will Tesla say during the Cybercab Launch?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026 at 11pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 78° or above at 99% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026 at 11pm EDT? resolve?
- Temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026 at 11pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is Temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026 at 11pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 3, 2026 at 11 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 77.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.