KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 74° or above (46%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Probability Timeline
75° or above1%
77° or above1%
76° or above1%
73° or above96%
74° or above46%
69° or above99%
68° or above99%
70° or above99%
71° or above99%
72° or above99%
69° or aboveLost
68° or aboveLost
70° or aboveLost
71° or aboveLost
72° or aboveLost
73° or aboveLost
74° or aboveWon
75° or aboveLost
77° or aboveLost
76° or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 22, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Oct 22, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Oct 23, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Oct 23, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on October 23?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Miami on October 24?
PolymarketRules
If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 73.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 69° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 68° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 70° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 69.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 71° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 72° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 71.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 73° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 72.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 74° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 73.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 75° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 74.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 77° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 76.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 76° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 75.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.