KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 10:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
68° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
68° or above 99%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$27K
Open interest
$22.1K
Medium open interestSpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 21, 26, 10:00 AM UTCOct 21, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
68° or above99%
67° or above99%
63° or above99%
69° or above25%
70° or above1%
71° or above1%
72° or above1%
64° or above0%
65° or above0%
66° or above0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 21, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Oct 21, 2026?
KalshiRain in Miami in Oct 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on October 22?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Miami on October 23?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in Miami (MIA)(KMIA) exceed 83 F on October 21, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 68° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 7 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 67° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 7 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 66.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 63° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 7 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 62.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 69° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 7 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 70° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 7 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 69.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 71° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 7 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 72° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 7 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 71.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 64° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 7 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 63.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 65° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 7 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 64.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 66° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 7 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 65.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.