KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 72° or above (99%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 6:10 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 4:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
73° or above49%
74° or above4%
72° or above99%
71° or above99%
76° or above3%
70° or above99%
67° or above99%
68° or above99%
69° or above99%
75° or above0%
72° or aboveWon
71° or aboveLost
70° or aboveLost
67° or aboveLost
68° or aboveLost
69° or aboveLost
73° or aboveLost
74° or aboveLost
76° or aboveLost
75° or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 21, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Oct 21, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on October 22?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Miami on October 22?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in Miami (MIA)(KMIA) exceed 83 F on October 21, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Miami (MIA)(KMIA) exceed 85 F on October 21, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 71.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 72° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 71.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 71° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 70° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 69.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 67° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 66.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 68° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 69° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 73° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 72.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 74° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 73.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 76° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 75.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 75° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 74.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.