KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
77° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
77° or above 99%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$18.7K
Open interest
$12.1K
Medium open interestSpread
12.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 20, 26, 1:00 PM UTCOct 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
77° or above99%
76° or above99%
75° or above99%
70° or above99%
71° or above99%
72° or above99%
73° or above99%
74° or above99%
78° or above93%
79° or above34%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 77° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 20, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 76.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 76° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 20, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 75.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 75° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 20, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 74.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 70° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 20, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 69.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 71° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 20, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 72° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 20, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 71.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 73° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 20, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 72.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 74° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 20, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 73.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 78° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 20, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 77.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 79° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 20, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 78.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.