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Temperature in Miami on Oct 12, 2026 at 12pm EDT?

TechDailyWeather

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This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.

Awaiting verified resolution

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Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 3:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current implied probability

86° or above 99%

Leader of 10 outcomes

Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$38.1K

Open interest

$31.7K

High open interest

Spread

1.0 pt

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Oct 12, 26, 3:00 PM UTCOct 12, 26, 4:00 PM UTC

Trends

86° or above

99%

84° or above

99%

85° or above

99%

83° or above

99%

87° or above

97%

88° or above

12%

89° or above

4%

90° or above

3%

81° or above

0%

82° or above

0%

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 12, 2026?

Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 12, 2026?

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 13, 2026?

Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 13, 2026?

Highest temperature in Miami on October 13?

Highest temperature in Miami on October 14?

Rules

This outcome's exact rule is not available.

Settles via:Synoptic Data

The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.

Rules for each outcome

86° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
84° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 83.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
85° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
83° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 82.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
87° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 86.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
88° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 87.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
89° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 88.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
90° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 89.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
81° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 80.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
82° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 12, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

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