KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
78° to 79° · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
78° to 79° Stored bid–ask57%–67%Collected: Last trade: 61% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 61.6%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Leader of 6 outcomes
78° to 79° Stored bid–ask57%–67%Collected: Last trade: 61% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 61.6%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$745.8
Open interest
$719.1
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
78° to 79°Spread
—
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Oct 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · 78° to 79°
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 11, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Oct 11, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Oct 12, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on October 12?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Miami on October 13?
PolymarketWill the lowest temperature in Miami (MIA)(KMIA) be below 80 F on October 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 12, 2026, is between 78-79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 78° to 79°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 12, 2026, is between 78-79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 76° to 77°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 12, 2026, is between 76-77° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 80° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 12, 2026, is greater than 79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 74° to 75°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 12, 2026, is between 74-75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 72° to 73°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 12, 2026, is between 72-73° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 71° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 12, 2026, is less than 72° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.