KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 10, 2026, 5:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
83° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
83° or above 99%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$11K
Open interest
$8.3K
Medium open interestSpread
16.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 10, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
83° or above99%
82° or above99%
81° or above86%
84° or above37%
87° or above2%
85° or above1%
86° or above1%
80° or above0%
88° or above0%
89° or above0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Miami on Nov 10, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Nov 10, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Nov 11, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Nov 11, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on November 11?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Miami on November 12?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 83° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Nov 10, 2026 at 1 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 82.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 82° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Nov 10, 2026 at 1 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 81° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Nov 10, 2026 at 1 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 80.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 84° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Nov 10, 2026 at 1 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 83.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 87° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Nov 10, 2026 at 1 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 86.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 85° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Nov 10, 2026 at 1 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 86° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Nov 10, 2026 at 1 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 80° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Nov 10, 2026 at 1 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 79.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 88° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Nov 10, 2026 at 1 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 87.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 89° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Nov 10, 2026 at 1 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 88.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.