KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 91° or above (96%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 3:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
90° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$3.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 3:00 PMAug 21, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
90° or above99%
89° or above99%
92° or above47%
91° or above96%
95° or above1%
93° or above7%
94° or above1%
87° or above97%
88° or above97%
86° or above97%
99%
99%
97%
97%
97%
96%
47%
7%
1%
1%
Rules
If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Aug 21, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology.
- Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Aug 21, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 86.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Aug 21, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 87.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Aug 21, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 88.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above+85.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+94.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+78.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $5M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+78.0pt93.2%
- 84° or above-1.0pt2.9%
- 78° to 79°-28.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+9.0pt21%
- 300-319+8.4pt21%
- 260-279+6.8pt15%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.0pt11.9%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.0pt10.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt10.9%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+14.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+49.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 21, 2026?
- Las Vegas+72.0pt99%
- Boston+23.0pt99%
- Chicago+55.0pt95%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $258.2K
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- Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 21, 2026?
- BTC price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 21, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Temperature in Miami on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 90° or above at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Temperature in Miami on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT? resolve?
- Temperature in Miami on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Temperature in Miami on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Aug 21, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.