KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 80° or above (86%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 6:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
79° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 6:00 PMAug 21, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
80° or above86%
81° or above64%
79° or above99%
82° or above4%
78° or above95%
83° or above1%
77° or above97%
75° or above0%
76° or above0%
84° or above0%
99%
97%
95%
86%
64%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
If the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 21, 2026 3 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 74.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 21, 2026 3 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 75.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above+85.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+94.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+78.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $5M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+78.0pt93.2%
- 84° or above-1.0pt2.9%
- 78° to 79°-28.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+9.0pt21%
- 300-319+8.4pt21%
- 260-279+6.8pt15%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.0pt11.9%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.0pt10.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt10.9%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+14.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+49.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 21, 2026?
- Las Vegas+72.0pt99%
- Boston+23.0pt99%
- Chicago+55.0pt95%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $258.2K
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- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 21, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 79° or above at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT? resolve?
- Temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 21, 2026 3 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 74.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.