KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 91° or above (80%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 3:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
86° or above 97%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
8 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$57.5
Liquidity
$56.2
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 3:00 PMAug 21, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
97%
97%
97%
80%
6%
3%
2%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
If the temperature recorded at Austin, TX for Aug 21, 2026 12 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KAUS), is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- The official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.
- NWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.
- Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If the temperature recorded at Austin, TX for Aug 21, 2026 12 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KAUS), is above 86.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above+85.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+94.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+78.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $5M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+78.0pt93.2%
- 84° or above-1.0pt2.9%
- 78° to 79°-28.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+9.0pt21%
- 300-319+8.4pt21%
- 260-279+6.8pt15%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.0pt11.9%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.0pt10.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt10.9%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+14.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+49.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 21, 2026?
- Las Vegas+72.0pt99%
- Boston+23.0pt99%
- Chicago+55.0pt95%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $258.2K
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- BTC price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 21, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Temperature in Austin on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 86° or above at 97% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Temperature in Austin on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT? resolve?
- Temperature in Austin on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Temperature in Austin on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the temperature recorded at Austin, TX for Aug 21, 2026 12 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KAUS), is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.