KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Democrat · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Democrat 84.5%Leader of 15 outcomes
Democrat 84.5%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Open interest
$2.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
DemocratSpread
—
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Nov 10, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 24, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Democrat
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will John Thune be elected Senate Republican leader on Nov 10?
KalshiWill Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill John Thune run for reelection?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
If John Thune says Democrat as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). John Thune speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Democrat
- If John Thune says Democrat as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If John Thune says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tax
- If John Thune says Tax as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Midterm
- If John Thune says Midterm as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If John Thune says Iran / Iranian as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hegseth
- If John Thune says Hegseth as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Impeach / Impeachment
- If John Thune says Impeach / Impeachment as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Affordable / Affordability
- If John Thune says Affordable / Affordability as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (3+ times)
- If John Thune says Trump (3+ times) as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Inflation
- If John Thune says Inflation as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Schumer
- If John Thune says Schumer as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Filibuster
- If John Thune says Filibuster as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biden
- If John Thune says Biden as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- American Dream
- If John Thune says American Dream as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.