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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. How many launches will SpaceX have in May?
How many launches will SpaceX have in May?

How many launches will SpaceX have in May?

TechMonthlySpace
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Above 11 (99%)

Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, 11:10 PM

Winning Outcome

Above 11

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

94%

Consensus
Current implied probability
Above 12
Above 12 1%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

77 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$11K

Liquidity

$27.6K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 11 days ago

Stale
Apr 30, 26, 5:00 PMJun 1, 26, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Above 1199%
Above 121%
Above 151%
Above 161%
0%25%50%75%100%May 30May 31May 31
Outcome24hChance
Above 12
Above 12
1%
Above 11
Above 11
99%
Above 13
Above 13
1%
Above 10
Above 10
99%
Above 14
Above 14
1%
Above 18
Above 18
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If SpaceX has more than 10 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
  • If SpaceX has more than 11 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If SpaceX has more than 12 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If SpaceX has more than 13 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If SpaceX has more than 14 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

How many launches will SpaceX have in June?

How many launches will SpaceX have in June?

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Above 14: 46%KalshiKALSHI
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

$158.9
Above 180: 25%KalshiKALSHI
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

$7K
Up: 46%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which price will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in June?

Which price will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in June?

$0
↑ 200.00: 44%LimitlessLIMITLESS
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

$323.5K
↑$1.6T: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

$32.9K
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Active in these topics

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Rules

If SpaceX has more than 10 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
  • If SpaceX has more than 11 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If SpaceX has more than 12 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If SpaceX has more than 13 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If SpaceX has more than 14 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.