KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Before Nov 1, 2026 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 2, 2026, 3:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 2, 2026, 2:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Before Oct 1, 20268%
Before Nov 1, 202699%
Before Dec 1, 202690%
Before Nov 1, 2026Won
Before Dec 1, 2026Lost
Before Jan 1, 2027Lost
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Drake releases a remix of Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas.” the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Spotify
- For purposes of this market, the “Choosin’ Texas” remix refers to the recording featuring Drake that was previewed in the video posted by:
- Kurrco: https://x.com/Kurrco/status/2094297951594070355
- Pop Crave: https://x.com/PopCrave/status/2094367240254591351
- Pop Base: https://x.com/PopBase/status/2094309868999987681