KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: 2028 / Campaign (99%)
Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, 7:32 PM
Winning Outcome
2028 / Campaign
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability2028 / Campaign 99%+86.0%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 9 days ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 3:00 PMJun 3, 26, 6:50 PM
Probability Timeline
2028 / Campaign95%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Board of Peace99%
Democrat1%
Trump (5+ times)3%
Russia / Russian99%
NATO99%
Fraud16%
Cuba / Cuban99%
Ukraine99%
Climate12%
Israel / Israeli99%
Tariff19%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
Ceasefire99%
Event does not qualify1%
UN / United Nation99%
China / Chinese99%
Nuclear99%
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs - Department of State FY 2027 Budget Request will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs - Department of State FY 2027 Budget Request will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.