KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Phoenix (99%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 2:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Phoenix 99%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$435.8K
Liquidity
$310.4K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 26, 9:10 AMAug 21, 26, 7:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Phoenix99%
Minneapolis30%
Atlanta29%
Washington DC94%
Philadelphia99%
Miami82%
Houston2%
Los Angeles4%
Boston78%
Chicago5%
Seattle3%
Dallas1%
San Francisco2%
Oklahoma City11%
New York City96%
Las Vegas2%
New Orleans12%
Denver12%
San Antonio8%
Austin8%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the total precipitation at CLINYC in the named outcome in Aug 20, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Data for CLINYC can be found by clicking the following URL: https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company linked in the rules above.
- If the total precipitation at CLIORD in Chicago in Aug 20, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIORD can be found by clicking the following URL: https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above+85.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+94.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+78.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $5M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+78.0pt93.2%
- 84° or above-1.0pt2.9%
- 78° to 79°-28.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+9.0pt21%
- 300-319+8.4pt21%
- 260-279+6.8pt15%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.0pt11.9%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.0pt10.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt10.9%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+14.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+49.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 21, 2026?
- Las Vegas+72.0pt99%
- Boston+23.0pt99%
- Chicago+55.0pt95%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $258.2K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Where will it rain on Aug 20, 2026??
- Kalshi prices Phoenix at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Where will it rain on Aug 20, 2026? resolve?
- Where will it rain on Aug 20, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Where will it rain on Aug 20, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the total precipitation at CLINYC in the named outcome in Aug 20, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.