KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 92%
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$44.2
Liquidity
$3.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 10.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 21, 26, 6:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Blake Lively and Taylor Swift have been seen together in public starting 01/21/2026 at 1:30 PM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Taylor SwiftBlake LivelyThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCSky NewsThe Guardian
- The person must be physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive, appearing conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated).
- Qualifying public settings include: public spaces accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants), ticketed public events (concerts, sports events, conferences), official public appearances (government events, ceremonies, press conferences), and semi-public venues where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations).
- The following do NOT qualify: pre-recorded or archival footage, private events closed to the general public, medical facilities or private residences, virtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars), body doubles or impersonators, or posthumous footage.
- The sighting must be confirmed by Source Agencies including official government agencies, major news outlets, or the person's verified social media accounts.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Blake Lively and Taylor Swift seen together in public this year??
- Kalshi prices No at 92% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Blake Lively and Taylor Swift seen together in public this year? resolve?
- Blake Lively and Taylor Swift seen together in public this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Blake Lively and Taylor Swift seen together in public this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Blake Lively and Taylor Swift have been seen together in public starting 01/21/2026 at 1:30 PM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.