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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Who will be seen in public in Jun 2026?
Who will be seen in public in Jun 2026?

Who will be seen in public in Jun 2026?

2.0% (24h)MonthlyPoliticsUS PoliticsEntertainment19d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris 82%-2.0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1

Liquidity

$8.9

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

82.0% / 88.0%

Spread

7.3%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jun 1, 26, 2:00 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Kamala Harris82%

Rules

If Kamala Harris has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jun 1, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • All of the following criteria must be met:
  • Physical Presence: Kamala Harris is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive Consciousness: Kamala Harris appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated) Public Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following: A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants) A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences) An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences) A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)
  • The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
  • Pre-recorded or archival footage presented as current Private events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings) Medical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas Virtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars) Body doubles or impersonators Corpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage
  • Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

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Rules

If Kamala Harris has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jun 1, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • All of the following criteria must be met:
  • Physical Presence: Kamala Harris is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive Consciousness: Kamala Harris appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated) Public Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following: A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants) A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences) An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences) A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)
  • The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
  • Pre-recorded or archival footage presented as current Private events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings) Medical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas Virtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars) Body doubles or impersonators Corpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage
  • Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: