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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Inflation
  3. Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026?
Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026?

Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026?

5.0% (24h)InflationOne-Off6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 71%-5.0%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.3

Liquidity

$488.9

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

69.9% / 77.0%

Spread

10.2%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Nov 5, 25, 7:00 PMJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes71%

Rules

If the NYC Rent Guidelines Board has voted to set a 0% rent increase or any level of decrease for either one-year leases, two-year leases, or both, for rent-stabilized apartments with leases commencing between October 1 of 2026 and September 30 of the following year, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A rent freeze means the Board has voted for exactly 0% increase or any negative percentage (rent decrease) for either one-year leases, two-year leases, or both.
  • The vote must be the final, official vote of the Board for the annual cycle, not a preliminary vote or proposed range.
  • Indexation to inflation is considered a rent increase and would not qualify as a freeze.
  • If the Board votes 0% for either one-year or two-year leases (or both), the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Board votes only positive percentages for both lease types, the market resolves to No.

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Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2027?

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Will US CPI inflation (CPI-U, 12-month, June 2026) exceed 4.0%?

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In a true free market. Prices would naturally fall . In other words deflation

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,168.01+0.65%EthereumETH$1,639.71-0.14%SolanaSOL$64.29-1.27%DogecoinDOGE$0.084-1.02%XRPXRP$1.11-2.21%BNBBNB$592.25-0.11%

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Rules

If the NYC Rent Guidelines Board has voted to set a 0% rent increase or any level of decrease for either one-year leases, two-year leases, or both, for rent-stabilized apartments with leases commencing between October 1 of 2026 and September 30 of the following year, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A rent freeze means the Board has voted for exactly 0% increase or any negative percentage (rent decrease) for either one-year leases, two-year leases, or both.
  • The vote must be the final, official vote of the Board for the annual cycle, not a preliminary vote or proposed range.
  • Indexation to inflation is considered a rent increase and would not qualify as a freeze.
  • If the Board votes 0% for either one-year or two-year leases (or both), the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Board votes only positive percentages for both lease types, the market resolves to No.