KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 35 · —
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Stored price
Above 65 37.5%Market line of 9 lines
Above 65 37.5%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$902.5
Open interest
$1.4K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Above 35Spread
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Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 35
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWill Netflix (NFLX) close above ___ end of October?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Carbon Arc Netflix App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 65, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Netflix App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 35
- If the Carbon Arc Netflix App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 35, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50
- If the Carbon Arc Netflix App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 55
- If the Carbon Arc Netflix App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 55, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60
- If the Carbon Arc Netflix App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 60, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65
- If the Carbon Arc Netflix App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 65, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70
- If the Carbon Arc Netflix App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 70, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 75
- If the Carbon Arc Netflix App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 75, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 80
- If the Carbon Arc Netflix App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 80, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc Netflix App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110, then the market resolves to Yes.
