KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Juan Manuel La Serna (99%)
Resolved: Oct 13, 2026, 10:42 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Hernan Casanova1%
Juan Manuel La Serna99%
Juan Manuel La SernaWon
Before close: 99% ·
Hernan CasanovaLost
Before close: 1% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Juan Manuel La Serna wins the Casanova vs La Serna professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Casanova vs La Serna professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Juan Manuel La Serna
- If Juan Manuel La Serna wins the Casanova vs La Serna professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hernan Casanova
- If Hernan Casanova wins the Casanova vs La Serna professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.