KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityThe Hawk: Season 1 3%+1.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$31.3K
Liquidity
$57.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 4.0%
Spread
33.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 12:00 AMJul 28, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
The Hawk: Season 13%
Compare venues· Ransom Canyon: Season 2
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall87% match · auto | High | 94% | 0pt | $5.4K | $58.2K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Medium | 94% | 0pt | $31.3K | $57.1K | 16 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
1.5%2d
+1.5%94%
50%
50%
+15 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$8.8K
24h Vol$5.4K
POLYMARKETRules
If The Hawk: Season 1 is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday.
- Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
- The chart published on Jul 28, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix.
- Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$31.3kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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Rules
If The Hawk: Season 1 is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday.
- Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
- The chart published on Jul 28, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix.
- Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.