Target Price: $3.18387
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (65%)
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 4:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes35%
No65%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will California consume more than 50,000 thousand Mcf of natural gas in August 2026?
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ForecastExWill California consume more than 60,000 thousand Mcf of natural gas in August 2026?
ForecastExWill California consume more than 65,000 thousand Mcf of natural gas in August 2026?
ForecastExWill Colorado Amendment 82 (constitutional right to natural gas) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Pyth - NATGAS
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
