KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Denny Hamlin 15%Leader of 38 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$226.2K
Liquidity
$226K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 9:05 PMSep 14, 26, 3:00 AM
Trends
Rules
If the named outcome finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500 originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
- Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR.
- Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience.
- If the named outcome retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Denny Hamlin is 15%. Quotes span about 33 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Denny Hamlin 15% · 2 venues · 33 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner · Austin Hill 49%
Open markets
Motorsport
POLYMARKETF1 Drivers' Champion
- Kimi Antonelli-0.3pt75.5%
- Lando Norris-0.2pt8.2%
- George Russell+0.1pt7.1%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $201.9M
- 24h Vol
- $180.9K
KALSHIItalian Grand Prix Winner
- Lando Norris26.9%
- George Russell23.5%
- Charles Leclerc+1.0pt10.9%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $319.2K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETF1 Constructors' Champion
- Mercedes+2.0pt92%
- Ferrari-3.3pt7%
- McLaren-0.1pt1%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIFleetio 200 Winner
- Justin Allgaier25.5%
- Jesse Love10.2%
- Brandon Jones9.2%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $24.4K
- 24h Vol
- $24.4K
KALSHINASCAR Cup Series Champion
- Denny Hamlin+1.0pt40%
- Ryan Blaney-1.0pt13%
- Christopher Bell+5.0pt10%
+32 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIF1 Drivers Champion
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli+1.0pt63.8%
- Lando Norris7.8%
- Lewis Hamilton6.9%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.1K
- NASCAR Cook Out Southern 500: Top 20 Finishers
- NASCAR Cook Out Southern 500: Top 10 Finishers
- F1 Constructors Champion
- NASCAR Fleetio 200: Top 10 Finishers
- Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner
- Will it rain during the Italian Grand Prix?
- NASCAR Fleetio 200: Fastest Lap
- Cook Out Southern 500 Qualifying Session: Pole Position
- NASCAR Cook Out Southern 500: Top 5 Finishers
- Italian Grand Prix Main Race: Podium Finishers
- NASCAR Fleetio 200: Podium Finishers
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Cook Out Southern 500 Winner?
- Kalshi prices Denny Hamlin at 15% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Cook Out Southern 500 Winner resolve?
- Cook Out Southern 500 Winner is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is Cook Out Southern 500 Winner settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500 originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Cook Out Southern 500 Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.