KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Justin Allgaier 25.3%Leader of 37 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$27.3K
Liquidity
$27.1K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 9:05 PMSep 13, 26, 5:30 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Rules
If the named outcome finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Fleetio 200 originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
- Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR.
- Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience.
- If the named outcome retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Justin Allgaier is 25%. Quotes span about 20 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Justin Allgaier 25% · 2 venues · 20 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner · Ryan Ellis 45%
Open markets
Sports
POLYMARKET2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Carlos Alcaraz+6.0pt33%
- Alexander Zverev+0.6pt23.3%
- Ben Shelton+1.4pt7.8%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $15.3M
- 24h Vol
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KALSHISeattle vs Boston: Total Runs
- Over 2.5 runs scored93%
- Over 3.5 runs scored86%
- Over 4.5 runs scored79%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+7.0pt28.2%
- Alexander Zverev-1.0pt17.7%
- Ben Shelton7.3%
+32 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $14.6M
POLYMARKETEPL: 2027 Champion
- Arsenal+1.5pt49%
- Manchester City+1.0pt23.1%
- Chelsea-3.0pt13.5%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHIBertola vs Kym
- Jerome Kym66.3%
- Remy Bertola33.7%
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8M
KALSHIComesana vs Cobolli
- Flavio Cobolli-15.0pt66.3%
- Francisco Comesana+15.0pt33.7%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Fleetio 200 Winner?
- Kalshi prices Justin Allgaier at 25% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Fleetio 200 Winner resolve?
- Fleetio 200 Winner is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Fleetio 200 Winner settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Fleetio 200 originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Fleetio 200 Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.