PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotesStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Ryan Ellis 45%Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
16 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$328.9
Low liquiditySpread
84.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 1, 26, 11:31 AMSep 12, 26, 11:30 PM
Trends
Rules
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
- If the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."
- This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race.
- The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.
- Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution.
- The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Justin Allgaier is 21%. Quotes span about 24 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Justin Allgaier 21% · 2 venues · 24 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Fleetio 200 Winner · Justin Allgaier 22%
Open markets
Sports
KALSHIFery vs Musetti
- Lorenzo Musetti+20.0pt97%
- Arthur Fery-21.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $4.5M
- 24h Vol
- $4.4M
KALSHISeattle vs Boston: Total Runs
- Over 2.5 runs scored95%
- Over 3.5 runs scored86%
- Over 4.5 runs scored80%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $3.2M
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli
- Completed Match+49.5pt100%
- Cobolli Set 1 Winner+68.5pt100%
- Cobolli Set 2 Winner+69.0pt100%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKET2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt33.6%
- Alexander Zverev-0.1pt22.4%
- Ben Shelton-1.6pt7.5%
+45 more outcomes
KALSHINew York M vs Tampa Bay
- Tampa Bay+3.0pt56.4%
- New York M-3.0pt43.6%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet
- Moutet Set 1 O/U 8.5+31.0pt100%
- Moutet Set 1 Winner+66.0pt100%
- Moutet Set 1 O/U 9.5+51.5pt100%
+23 more outcomes
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner?
- Polymarket prices Ryan Ellis at 45% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner resolve?
- NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner is scheduled to resolve on September 12, 2026.
- How is NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
- Where else is NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.