KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Orlando Bloom 35%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$180.3
Low liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 6:24 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
X-Men: Cast
KalshiNext Pirates of the Caribbean film: Will Johnny Depp be cast?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome is cast in The next feature-length film in the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise to be released by Walt Disney Studios after Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
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KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
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- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
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- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
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KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: Cast?
- Kalshi prices Orlando Bloom at 35% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Next Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: Cast resolve?
- Next Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: Cast is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Next Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: Cast settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is cast in The next feature-length film in the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise to be released by Walt Disney Studios after Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.