KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
80° or above 95.2%+35.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
80° or above 95.2%+35.0ptMarket quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4K
Open interest
$3.6K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 3, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 5, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 4, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 5, 2026?
KalshiConsecutive days of average temperature in Phoenix above 90°F - week of Sep 28, 2026
KalshiWill the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceed 97 F on October 4, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceed 98 F on October 4, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Oct 4, 2026, is greater than 79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 80° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Oct 4, 2026, is greater than 79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 78° to 79°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 78-79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 76° to 77°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 76-77° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 74° to 75°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 74-75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 72° to 73°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 72-73° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 71° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Oct 4, 2026, is less than 72° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
