KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 12:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
2+ consecutive days No observed price
2+ consecutive days No observed priceMarket quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 4:00 AM UTCOct 5, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Rules
If there is at least 2 or more consecutive days within September 28, 2026 through October 4, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KPHX in Phoenix is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- How this is resolved A day's average temperature is the arithmetic mean of the hourly temperature values reported by The Weather Company for KPHX from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only days within September 28, 2026 through October 4, 2026 may count toward a streak. Data as published at the Expiration Time will be used; later revisions are disregarded. Doesn't count for payout An average of exactly 90 degrees Fahrenheit does not satisfy the condition. A day with fewer than 18 reported hourly values does not satisfy the condition and breaks a streak.
Rules for each outcome
- 2+ consecutive days
- If there is at least 2 or more consecutive days within September 28, 2026 through October 4, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KPHX in Phoenix is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3+ consecutive days
- If there is at least 3 or more consecutive days within September 28, 2026 through October 4, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KPHX in Phoenix is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4+ consecutive days
- If there is at least 4 or more consecutive days within September 28, 2026 through October 4, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KPHX in Phoenix is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5+ consecutive days
- If there is at least 5 or more consecutive days within September 28, 2026 through October 4, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KPHX in Phoenix is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 6+ consecutive days
- If there is at least 6 or more consecutive days within September 28, 2026 through October 4, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KPHX in Phoenix is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.