KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 10:07 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
46° to 47° · —
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Stored price
46° to 47° 48%Leader of 6 outcomes
46° to 47° 48%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$442.9
Open interest
$378.9
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
46° to 47°Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 4, 26, 3:00 PM UTCNov 6, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · 46° to 47°
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Nov 4, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on Nov 4, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on Nov 5, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Chicago on November 5?
PolymarketWill the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be below 55 F on November 4, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be below 54 F on November 4, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Nov 5, 2026, is between 46-47° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 46° to 47°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Nov 5, 2026, is between 46-47° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 44° to 45°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Nov 5, 2026, is between 44-45° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 48° to 49°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Nov 5, 2026, is between 48-49° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 50° to 51°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Nov 5, 2026, is between 50-51° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 43° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Nov 5, 2026, is less than 44° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 52° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Nov 5, 2026, is greater than 51° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Lowest temperature in Chicago on November 5? · 41°F or below 48%