KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
66° to 67° 33.6%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$580.1
Liquidity
$578.1
Low liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 2:00 PMAug 23, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Rules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Aug 22, 2026, is less than 60° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Aug 22, 2026, is between 60-61° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above+85.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+94.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+78.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $5M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+78.0pt93.2%
- 84° or above-1.0pt2.9%
- 78° to 79°-28.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+9.0pt21%
- 300-319+8.4pt21%
- 260-279+6.8pt15%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.0pt11.9%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.0pt10.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt10.9%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+14.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+49.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 21, 2026?
- Las Vegas+72.0pt99%
- Boston+23.0pt99%
- Chicago+55.0pt95%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $258.2K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 22, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 66° to 67° at 34% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 22, 2026? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 22, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 23, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 22, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Aug 22, 2026, is less than 60° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 22, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.