KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
70° to 71° 62.8%+58.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
70° to 71° 62.8%+58.0ptMarket quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.9K
Open interest
$3K
Medium open interestSpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 6, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiConsecutive days of average temperature in Austin above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026
KalshiHighest temperature in Austin on October 6?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Austin on October 7?
PolymarketRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 70-71° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 70° to 71°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 70-71° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 68° to 69°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 68-69° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 66° to 67°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 66-67° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 72° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 5, 2026, is greater than 71° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 64° to 65°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 64-65° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 63° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 5, 2026, is less than 64° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Lowest temperature in Austin on October 6? · 76°F or higher 49%