KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Claude (99%)
Resolved: May 30, 2026, 4:20 PM
Winning Outcome
Claude
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
99%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilityChatGPT 1%-1.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$985.7
Liquidity
$2.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleMay 23, 26, 4:00 PMMay 30, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Claude99%
ChatGPT2%
1%
1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
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If Google has the top-ranked LLM on May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.