KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: AI / Artificial Intelligence (99%)
Resolved: Sep 15, 2026, 1:53 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
AI / Artificial Intelligence
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 15, 2026, 1:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Billionaire1%
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin1%
Iran / Iranian1%
Data Center99%
Corrupt / Corruption / Crook99%
Republican99%
Election99%
Trump (3+ times)99%
2028 / Campaign99%
Healthcare99%
Event does not qualify1%
AI / Artificial IntelligenceWon
Data CenterLost
Corrupt / Corruption / CrookLost
RepublicanLost
ElectionLost
Trump (3+ times)Lost
2028 / CampaignLost
HealthcareLost
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityLost
BillionaireLost
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / BitcoinLost
Iran / IranianLost
Event does not qualifyLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Jon Ossoff wins the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 8.00% or more?
Manifold MarketsWill Jon Ossoff and/or Roy Cooper win their senate race by 10.000% or more?
Manifold MarketsJon Ossoff wins the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 8.00% or more?
Manifold MarketsWill Jon Ossoff win the Georgia general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWho will win by a bigger percentage margin, Roy Cooper or Jon Ossoff?
Manifold MarketsWill Jon Ossoff win the Georgia Senate General Election by more than 2 percentage points?
ForecastExRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell on Sep 14, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell on Sep 14, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Jon Ossoff speaking in an official capacity.