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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in May 2026?
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in May 2026?

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in May 2026?

Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: 1 (99%)

Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, 2:49 PM

Winning Outcome

1

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
1
1 99%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

56 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$614.5

Liquidity

$7K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 11 days ago

Stale
May 1, 26, 2:00 PMJun 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Probability Timeline

21%
199%
01%
41%
31%
0%25%50%75%100%May 30May 31Jun 1
Outcome24hChance
1
1
99%
0
0
1%
2
2
1%
4
4
1%
3
3
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House.
  • A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if May 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count.
  • If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of May 2026, that will count as a visit.
  • If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House.
  • A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if May 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count.
  • If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of May 2026, that will count as a visit.
  • If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.