KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: At least 215,000 (70%)
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, 1:41 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityAt least 200,000 96%-3.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$6.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 71.0%
Spread
58.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 18 days ago
StaleJul 2, 26, 3:00 PMJul 9, 26, 12:25 PM
Probability Timeline
At least 210,00087%
At least 215,00070%
At least 220,00069%
At least 235,0003%
At least 245,0009%
46%
70%
87%
82%
18%
2%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· At least 200,000
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 96% | — | $3.8K | $6.5K | 18 days ago | |
 Rothera72% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $274 | $0 | 17 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Rothera
US Initial Jobless Claims (Jul 9, 2026)
Closed
100%
100%
100%
+7 more outcomes
12 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$274
24h Vol$274
ROTHERARules
If there are at least 200,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are at least 205,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are at least 210,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are at least 215,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are at least 220,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are at least 225,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$3.8kJul 28d of dataJul 9
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If there are at least 200,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are at least 205,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are at least 210,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are at least 215,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are at least 220,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are at least 225,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.