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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?
Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

RegulationYearlyEuropeMacro & Economy6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 71%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$15.4

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

70.0% / 74.0%

Spread

5.7%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Jan 20, 26, 12:00 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes71%

Rules

If Japan has agreed to or announced any reduction, suspension, or elimination of the current national 8% food consumption tax before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies.
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify.
  • Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, campaign promises, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify.
  • Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.

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Rules

If Japan has agreed to or announced any reduction, suspension, or elimination of the current national 8% food consumption tax before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies.
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify.
  • Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, campaign promises, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify.
  • Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.