KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: $79 or above (87%)
Resolved: Sep 11, 2026, 12:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
$78 or above 97%Leader of 75 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$459.5
Low liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 11:00 AM UTCSep 11, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
$79 or above87%
$78 or above97%
$80 or above2%
$46 or above0%
$47 or above0%
$48 or above0%
$49 or above0%
$50 or above0%
$51 or above0%
$52 or above0%
$53 or above0%
$54 or above0%
$55 or above0%
$56 or above0%
$57 or above0%
$58 or above0%
$59 or above0%
$60 or above0%
$61 or above0%
$62 or above0%
$63 or above0%
$64 or above0%
$65 or above0%
$66 or above0%
$67 or above0%
$68 or above0%
$69 or above0%
$70 or above0%
$71 or above0%
$72 or above0%
$73 or above0%
$74 or above0%
$75 or above0%
$76 or above0%
$77 or above0%
$81 or above0%
$82 or above0%
$83 or above0%
$84 or above0%
$85 or above0%
$86 or above0%
$87 or above0%
$88 or above0%
$89 or above0%
$90 or above0%
$91 or above0%
$92 or above0%
$93 or above0%
$94 or above0%
$95 or above0%
$96 or above0%
$97 or above0%
$98 or above0%
$99 or above0%
$100 or above0%
$101 or above0%
$102 or above0%
$103 or above0%
$104 or above0%
$105 or above0%
$106 or above0%
$107 or above0%
$108 or above0%
$109 or above0%
$110 or above0%
$111 or above0%
$112 or above0%
$113 or above0%
$114 or above0%
$115 or above0%
$116 or above0%
$117 or above0%
$118 or above0%
$119 or above0%
$120 or above0%
97%
87%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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PolymarketRules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI before 8 AM EDT is above $45.9999 at 8 AM EDT on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same.
- While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).
- At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected.
- The official and final value is the average of these prices.
- If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI before 8 AM EDT is above $46.9999 at 8 AM EDT on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.