KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
84° or above 76.8%+60.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$50.2K
Liquidity
$39.8K
High liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 11, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 11?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 83 F on September 10, 2026?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 81 F on September 10, 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 10, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+26.0pt60.4%
- 180-199-7.5pt32.7%
- 200-219-9.9pt4%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $371.9K
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+7.0pt68.9%
- Before March 2027-3.0pt19.3%
- Before February 2027+2.0pt8.4%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $297.1K
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Total Vol
- $254K
- 24h Vol
- $250.1K
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- Meta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 84° or above at 77% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 10, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini.