KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
85° to 86° 50.5%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$23.6K
Liquidity
$18.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 11, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Sep 10, 2026, is less than 85° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $73,000 or above-1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $373.3K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $72,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $379.3K
- 24h Vol
- $369.4K
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027-6.0pt67%
- Before March 2027+1.0pt17.4%
- Before February 2027+4.0pt9.2%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+23.0pt52%
- 180-199-8.0pt26.5%
- 140-159+3.9pt15.7%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- October 31+3.2pt99%
- December 31+2.9pt99%
- September 30-6.5pt1%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89%
- OpenAI+0.1pt9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 85° to 86° at 50% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Sep 10, 2026, is less than 85° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.