KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 106° or below (99%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 2:13 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
106° or below 95.2%+81.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$97.2K
Liquidity
$56.8K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 26, 2:00 PMAug 21, 26, 7:00 AM
Probability Timeline
106° or below99%
107° to 108°1%
109° to 110°21%
111° to 112°10%
113° to 114°1%
115° or above1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Aug 20, 2026, is less than 107° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Aug 20, 2026, is between 107-108° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Aug 20, 2026, is between 109-110° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Aug 20, 2026, is between 111-112° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above+85.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+94.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+78.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $5M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+78.0pt93.2%
- 84° or above-1.0pt2.9%
- 78° to 79°-28.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+9.0pt21%
- 300-319+8.4pt21%
- 260-279+6.8pt15%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.0pt11.9%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.0pt10.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt10.9%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+14.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+49.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 21, 2026?
- Las Vegas+72.0pt99%
- Boston+23.0pt99%
- Chicago+55.0pt95%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $258.2K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 20, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 106° or below at 95% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 20, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 20, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 20, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Aug 20, 2026, is less than 107° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.