KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
74° or below · —
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Stored price
74° or below 87.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
74° or below 87.5%Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.8K
Open interest
$11K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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74° or belowSpread
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Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 17, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · 74° or below
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 15, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Oct 15, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Oct 16, 2026?
KalshiTemperature in New York City on Oct 15, 2026 at 11pm EDT?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 66 F on October 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 67 F on October 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 16, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 74° or below
- If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 16, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 75° to 76°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 16, 2026, is between 75-76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 77° to 78°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 16, 2026, is between 77-78° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 83° or above
- If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 16, 2026, is greater than 82° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 79° to 80°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 16, 2026, is between 79-80° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 81° to 82°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 16, 2026, is between 81-82° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
