KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 84° to 85° (99%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 11:19 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 4:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
84° to 85° 95.2%+69.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$105.1K
Liquidity
$85.2K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 26, 2:00 PMAug 21, 26, 5:00 AM
Probability Timeline
82° to 83°40%
86° or above1%
84° to 85°99%
80° to 81°2%
78° to 79°13%
77° or below3%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Aug 20, 2026, is less than 78° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Aug 20, 2026, is between 78-79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Aug 20, 2026, is between 80-81° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Aug 20, 2026, is between 82-83° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
