KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 12:45 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 12:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
YesWon
NoLost
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 16, 2026 at 8:45 PM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 8:30 PM EDT on September 16, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.