KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (97%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 4:15 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
No 97%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$138.8K
Liquidity
$83.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.2% / 3.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleSep 16, 26, 4:00 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 4:15 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes3%
No97%
97%
3%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 12:00 PM EDT on September 16, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.220099%
- Above 4.240099%
- Above 4.340099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
- 24h Vol
- $419.7K
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt36%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt28%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt12%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+32 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCrude Oil all time high by which date?
- December 31+2.5pt14%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
+1 more outcomes
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.465099%
- Above 4.440099%
- Above 4.435099%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $116.1K
- 24h Vol
- $116K
KALSHIDiesel prices tomorrow
- Above $6.48099%
- Above $6.48599%
- Above $6.49099%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.3K
- 24h Vol
- $94.7K
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 21, 2026?
- Diesel prices this week
- What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- Brent crude oil price on September 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- South Carolina gas prices tomorrow
- New Jersey gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Gold 15 min · $4,352.92 target?
- Kalshi prices No at 97% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Gold 15 min · $4,352.92 target resolve?
- Gold 15 min · $4,352.92 target is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Gold 15 min · $4,352.92 target settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 12:00 PM EDT on September 16, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.