KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (84%)
Resolved: Sep 9, 2026, 2:00 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 84%
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$29.5K
Liquidity
$32.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 9, 26, 1:45 PM UTCSep 9, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes16%
No84%
84%
16%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 9:45 AM EDT on September 9, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↑ $95+14.9pt100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2M
- 24h Vol
- $276.7K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $91.49+13.0pt99%
- Above $89.99+5.0pt99%
- Above $88.99+7.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1800+59.0pt99%
- Above 4.1400+32.0pt99%
- Above 4.2000+73.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIBrent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $9499%
- Above $96.5097%
- Above $9696%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.5K
- 24h Vol
- $99.4K
POLYMARKETCrude Oil all time high by which date?
- December 3111%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
+1 more outcomes
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Copper price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Brent crude oil price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Diesel prices this week
- Gas prices in the US in Sep 2026?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Gold 15 min · $4,417.60 target?
- Kalshi prices No at 84% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Gold 15 min · $4,417.60 target resolve?
- Gold 15 min · $4,417.60 target is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2026.
- How is Gold 15 min · $4,417.60 target settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 9:45 AM EDT on September 9, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.